We're halfway through 2022, and the cost picture is becoming clear. After two years of pandemic-disrupted trends, healthcare costs are rising—and rising faster than many employers expected.
What's Driving It
Deferred care catching up: The elective procedures and preventive care postponed in 2020-2021 are happening now. That pent-up demand is showing up in claims.
Provider cost increases: Hospitals and health systems face their own cost pressures—labor shortages, supply chain issues, general inflation. They're passing those costs through.
Pharmacy acceleration: Specialty drug costs continue rising faster than medical. New therapies launch at high price points.
Mental health utilization: Expanded mental health benefits are being used. That's good for employees but adds to cost.
Employer Responses
We're seeing various approaches:
Absorb and monitor: Some employers are absorbing the increase while watching whether it's a one-time catch-up or a new trend line.
Moderate adjustments: Small plan design changes—deductible tweaks, copay adjustments—to offset some of the increase.
Self-funding exploration: More employers asking about self-funded arrangements as a way to gain visibility and control.
PBM scrutiny: Pharmacy benefit managers are getting more attention as drug costs rise.
Looking to Renewals
Fall renewals will be telling. Early indications suggest:
- Fully-insured renewals in the 7-10% range are common
- Some employers seeing double-digit renewals
- Carrier willingness to negotiate varies
If your clients haven't started renewal planning, now is the time.
The post-pandemic cost environment is different. Strategies that worked in 2019 may not work in 2023.
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